LANBNN EUR 300m 5Y green senior preferred: fair value ~MS+105 vs IPT MS+140-145

LANBNN 5Y green senior preferred: fair value ~MS+105 vs IPT MS+140-145
New issue observation · 5 May 2026

LANBNN EUR 300m 5Y green senior preferred: fair value ~MS+105 vs IPT MS+140-145

Landsbankinn launched a EUR 300m no-grow 5Y green senior preferred today at IPT of MS+140-145. Rated A- by S&P, the bond settles 12 May 2026 with annual fixed coupon. Cross-referencing the issuer's existing EUR curve and Icelandic peer trading levels (Islandsbanki, Arion), fair value sits around MS+105. The IPT therefore embeds roughly 35-40bp of new issue concession before any greenium adjustment, leaving meaningful room for tightening through guidance and final pricing.

Deal snapshot

IssuerLandsbankinn HF (LANBNN)FormatReg S, sr preferred, green
SizeEUR 300m WNGTenor5Y (12 May 2031)
RatingsA- (S&P)CouponAnnual fixed, act/act
IPTMS+140-145ISINXS3368835719

Step 1 — LANBNN's own EUR curve

MaturityTenorMid YTMZ-spread
May 20282.0Y3.55%~+66
Oct 20293.4Y3.69%~+80
Jun 20304.1Y3.87%~+97
Mar 20326.4Y4.12%~+116

Interpolated 5Y fair value on the issuer's own curve: MS+105 to +108.

Step 2 — Islandsbanki (closest peer)

MaturityTenorMid YTMZ-spread
Mar 20281.9Y3.47%~+58
Sep 20304.4Y3.81%~+91
Nov 20326.5Y4.17%~+121

ISLBAN 5Y interpolated: MS+100 to +105.

Step 3 — Arion Banki (one notch lower)

MaturityTenorMid YTMZ-spread
Nov 20282.5Y3.42%~+54
May 20304.1Y3.87%~+98
Sep 20315.3Y3.99%~+108

ARION 5Y interpolated (and adjusted up 5-10bp for ratings differential): MS+95 to +105.

Triangulation

Reference5Y fair value
LANBNN own curveMS+105 to +108
Islandsbanki read-acrossMS+100 to +105
Arion read-across (rating-adjusted)MS+95 to +105
Consensus fair valueMS+102 to +108 (~MS+105)

IPT vs fair value

MetricLevel
IPTMS+140 to +145
Estimated fair value~MS+105
Implied NIC at IPT (pre-greenium)~35 to 40bp
Greenium adjustment (infrequent issuer)~1 to 2bp

Expected execution path

StageIndicative spread
IPTMS+140 to +145
GuidanceMS+118 to +123
Final pricingMS+112 to +118
Implied final NIC~7 to 12bp
Expected sizeEUR 300m (no-grow)
Observation: the IPT is calibrated to leave room for meaningful compression. Books on small/infrequent Nordic A- benchmarks of this profile have typically tightened 20-25bp from IPT to reoffer in recent vintages, finishing with single-digit to low-teens NIC.
Important. This material is provided for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment, legal, tax, accounting or financial advice, nor a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy, sell or hold any security. Spread and yield observations reflect indicative levels at a single point in time and may differ materially from actual executable prices. Fair-value estimates are observational only and subject to change without notice. Readers should consult their own advisers before acting on any information herein. Past pricing or relative-value behaviour is not indicative of future outcomes.
Chief Geek

Dr. Z-Spread — aka Chief Geek. Two decades on tier-one syndicate desks pricing senior, sub, hybrid and AT1 paper. Has seen every NIC trick in the book and still gets excited by a juicy concession.

https://www.newissuegeeks.com/team
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