ING Bank EUR Green Triple-Tranche — IPT vs FV: 3Y MS+65 vs ~MS+40; 7Y MS+95 vs ~MS+70

Summary. ING Bank NV is in market today with a triple-tranche EUR benchmark green bond: 2Y FRN at 3mE+60-65, 3Y fixed at MS+65 area, and 7Y fixed at MS+95 area. Settlement May 12, 2026. Mapped against ING Groep senior non-preferred A- comps, fair value triangulates to ~MS+40 on the 3Y and ~MS+70 on the 7Y, implying ~25bp of new-issue premium at IPT across both fixed tranches. Total expected size EUR 2-3bn.

IPT vs Implied Fair Value

TrancheIPTImplied YieldFV EstimateNIC at IPT
2Y FRN3mE+60-65n/a~3mE+40~20-25bp
3Y FixedMS+65~3.53%~MS+40~25bp
7Y FixedMS+95~3.93%~MS+70~25bp

How the FV Estimates Were Derived

Implied yields use EUR mid-swaps of 2.88% (3Y) and 2.98% (7Y). Fair value triangulates off ING Groep senior non-preferred A- in EUR. The IPT spread profile aligns with that curve rather than ING Bank NV senior preferred, which trades materially tighter (~MS+15-35 across short and intermediate tenors).

SNP Reference Curve

MaturityTenorYTM (%)vs MS (bp)
Nov 2030~4.5Y3.35~+44
Feb 2032~5.8Y3.53~+59
Nov 2032~6.5Y3.63~+68
Sep 2035~9.3Y3.92~+84
Feb 2037~10.8Y4.03~+92

Expected Size & Landing

TrancheExpected SizeLikely Landing
2Y FRNEUR 750m-1bn3mE+40-45
3Y FixedEUR 750m-1bnMS+40-45
7Y FixedEUR 500m-1bnMS+65-75
This post reflects market observations only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Pricing levels and spreads are indicative and subject to change. Readers should consult the final offering documents and seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision.
Chief Geek

Dr. Z-Spread — aka Chief Geek. Two decades on tier-one syndicate desks pricing senior, sub, hybrid and AT1 paper. Has seen every NIC trick in the book and still gets excited by a juicy concession.

https://www.newissuegeeks.com/team
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GM Financial Dual Tranche: FV ~MS+98 / UKT+93 vs IPT MS+140a / UKT+105a